To describe Iceland as Empty Iceland is a phrase I didn’t expect to ever get to write. Iceland has never been overcrowded, despite what the media may suggest. But, it was certainly not empty back at the peak of tourism in 2018. After all, that’s why Hidden Iceland emerged in the first place. To find hidden sites or get to the popular spots at the right times. Read on to learn about why Iceland should be your next destination and some of our top places to visit.
Nowadays, Iceland is positively empty! Of course this is mainly because of the current COVID-19 restrictions. But in actual fact, Iceland’s was already seeing slight declines in annual visitor numbers. Tourism figures were showing a drop in 2019, compared to 2018. Nearly 20% in some quarters. This trend was due to continue into 2020 and 2021 if it wasn’t for the pandemic. Now that drop is closer to 90%. And although that drop will (hopefully) not be so stark once restrictions are eased they are not expected to reach the dizzying heights of 2018 again until at least 2024. Current restrictions can be read here.
The big question that will undoubtedly come to mind for you is, ‘will it still be Empty Iceland by the time I come?’ After all, many people reading this are potentially booking many months in advance and taking advantage of the current discounts and flexible cancellation policies. Dreaming of travel rather than actively planning right now. An understandable concern.
So this blog post will hopefully cover some of the more burning questions about Iceland and why this little country is the perfect socially distant travel destination. Whether you are coming as early as summer 2021, or want to wait a little longer into autumn and winter, Iceland has plenty to keep you happy.
Iceland was never crowded
What if I told you that Iceland was never overcrowded? Even during its peak in 2018! Back then, Iceland welcomed roughly 2.3 million visitors. But by 2019 the numbers had dropped to around 2 million tourists. Many were suggesting that would further erode to 1.8 million in 2020 following the collapse of Iceland’s second biggest airline, WOW Air. When you compare those meagre figures to the 10 million who frequented the much smaller in size islands of Hawaii and you can see why I say Iceland was never overcrowded.
Sadly, the reason for the negative press was likely due to the fact that many of you fly into the sole International Airport, Keflavik, spend a few days on the one main high street, Laugavegur, and jump in a big bus to see the most popular sights of the Golden Circle. Doing those activities alone will undoubtedly make you feel a bit like a sardine. But, if you join Hidden Iceland on our small group tours or on our fully customisable private tours, and go a little further afield you’ll start to see an Iceland less explored. Even in the height of summer! This remote island in the middle of the Atlantic has many secret still to share and places untouched.
Why will Iceland remain empty following the pandemic?
If you’re lucky enough to be able to travel safely right now then you will truly see Iceland with no tourists at each destination. Once the 5 day quarantine is loosened and more countries are able to travel again I’ve no doubt tourists will want to frequent the shores of Iceland again. However, we don’t think it will be business as usual. Not for a very long time.
Here are a few reasons why the tourist numbers will not jump back up to 2 million, at least not in the next few years.
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WOW Air, Iceland’s second largest airline, went bankrupt in the spring of 2019. Icelandair, Iceland’s current largest airline, is still surviving, but at a greatly diminished capacity. These two airlines serviced well over half of all tourist back in 2018. So even if the ‘demand’ skyrockets in 2021, the ‘supply’ (seats on planes) will create a limiting factor until the airlines can successfully scale up.
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The travel agencies, tour operators and even the hotels will take time to recover. This means that the largest companies who market and operate in Iceland won’t get back to full capacity for quite some time.
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People are predicted to be more weary of travel until the virus has been completely eradicated worldwide, which is unlikely in 2021.
All this spells out a quiet 2021. Maybe even an Empty Iceland…well maybe not. But there will certainly be way less tourists than pre-pandemic numbers. What a great time to come to Iceland, no?
Should I book my trip now for 2021?
This is a difficult question. One that requires you to weigh up your own personal risks as well as learning as much as you can about your travel options. Hidden Iceland is here to answer any burning questions, but only you can make that final decision.
What we can say with confidence however, is that booking now for 2021 will be the most affordable time to do it. It will also come with little financial risk. Why?
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Hidden Iceland are running a 25% discount special offer on bookings until the end of 2020 for travel in 2021 or beyond.
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The current exchange rate due to the pandemic between USD/ GBP/ EUR and ISK has made Iceland far cheaper.
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We can change your travel dates without any fees if you need to postpone your travel as it gets nearer.
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Many hotels and restaurants are running their own discounts as well.
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Our cancellation policy allows you to cancel very close to departure time for scheduled tours and is very flexible for private tours.
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